“The Hottest on record”

“The Year 2014 ranks as the warmest since 1880.” Said President Obama in his State of the Union speech.

Obama cited the separate findings of two federal agencies, NASA and NOAA.

But wait… when the figures were independently analyzed there was a only a 48% probability that 2014 was the warmest year in NOAA’s land and sea-surface records, and just a 38% probability in NASA’s !!

(The “USA hottest year ever !” was 1933 )

Maybe they were being clairvoyant & meant 2015 –

“The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for July 2015 was the highest for July in the 136-year period of record, at 0.81°C (1.46°F) above the 20th century average of 15.8°C (60.4°F), surpassing the previous record set in 1998 by 0.08°C (0.14°F).” https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201507

But – here is what the National Centers for Environmental Prediction ( NCEP) data shows for July temps.

Rank

Year

Anom

Temp

1

2002

0.33

16.67

2

2007

0.29

16.62

3

2005

0.27

16.60

4

2009

0.25

16.59

5

2003

0.25

16.58

6

2001

0.24

16.58

7

1998

0.23

16.56

8

2008

0.20

16.53

9

2006

0.19

16.53

10

2015

0.15

16.49

http://theinconvenientskeptic.com/2015/08/hottest-lie-of-the-century/

The UK’s ‘Hottest July day Ever’ was record at Heathrow Airport, but they were found to be measuring jet engine exhausts, 87 plane movements happened in that hr, near the recording station at Heathrow, situated at the eastern end of the north runway [ just where engines are on max thrust for take off ] . https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/07/14/heat-island-at-heathrow/

“Sept 2015 Hottest on record” – National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) said that “2015 was 97% likely to be the hottest year” (note the 97% figure…again)

Maybe…maybe not !! lets compare 2015 with 1953 https://i2.wp.com/realclimatescience.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/September1953-2015_100degrees.gif
On a year to end November basis1998 & 2010 were hotter

What actually happened in 2015 ??…. 6 of the first 9 months were below average – http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/anomalygraphs/2015/2015_MeanTemp_Anomaly_1961-1990.gif
73 Snowfields Survived the 2015 Scottish Summer. The most since 1994 https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/11/28/most-snow-patches-survive-in-scotland-since-1994/
And in USA (2015 was one of the cooler years https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2016/01/01/2015-was-one-of-the-coolest-years-on-record-in-the-us/ ) the Great Lakes had record ice with only three ice-free months. 2015 was the 6th Warmest in the last 37 years – http://theinconvenientskeptic.com/2015/12/2015-was-not-the-hottest-year/

NOAA reorts that 5-Year average U.S temp on cooling trend since 2000

Increasing Antarctic Ice, Arctic Ice apparently returning to normal, European and South American Glaciers growing, Greenland Ice growing and Temperatures very low. Early very heavy snowfall in USA, Japan, Russia, Croatia, China, Finland, Norway, Turkey & very cold in Iceland.

As 2015 is an ‘El-Nino’ year, East USA & Southwestern Europe has had the resultant warm, wet & windy autumn/winter.

2015 is Not A Record Year According To Global Satellites – https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/10/11/no-record-year-according-to-satellites/

The annual global lower troposphere temperature ranked 3rd warmest. https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress.com/2016/01/figure-32.png

And according to data on the NOAA website, 1997 was 2.13°C warmer than 2015. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/2014-was-the-hottest-year-on-record-but-2015-is-hotter-than-2014-and-2016-could-be-hotter-than-2015/

Lots of reports of “Hottest on record” have circulated over the last few years & found to be untrue.

See more in – ‘Hottest Ever’ on the Misinformation page