June 11, 1986, Dr. James Hansen of the Goddard Space Institute (NASA) in testimony to Congress predicted “global temperatures should be nearly 2 degrees higher in 20 years, (2006) ‘which is about the warmest the earth has been in the last 100,000 years.”
BUT – both statements are false: In the 20 yrs (1986-2006) temperature rise was just 0.4 °C
& it was 2°C warmer in Medieval & Roman periods than it is now.
Hansen specializes in climate “modeling” – attempting to predict future events based on computer simulations. In 1971, the same Hansen wrote his first climate model, which showed the world was about to experience severe global cooling. NASA colleagues used it to warn the world that immediate action was needed to prevent catastrophe. See more here
We now find that NASAs Gavin Schmidt has more than doubled apparent warming by altering the historical data. See more here
Key facts about global temperature
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Since 1950, when a human influence on global temperature first became theoretically possible, the global warming trend has been equivalent to below 1.2 °C per century.
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The RSS satellite dataset shows no global warming at all for 223 months from January 1997 to July 2015 – more than half the 439-month satellite record.
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There has been no warming even though one-third of all anthropogenic forcings since 1750 have occurred since January 1997….. during the pause in global warming.
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The entire RSS dataset from January 1979 to date shows global warming at an un-alarming rate equivalent to just 1.2 °C per century.
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The global warming trend since 1900 is equivalent to 0.75 °C per century. This is well within natural variability and may not have much to do with us.
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The fastest warming rate, lasting 15 years or more, since 1950 occurred over the 33 years from 1974 to 2006. It was equivalent to 2.0 °C per century.
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Compare the warming on the Central England temperature dataset in the 40 years 1694-1733, well before the Industrial Revolution, equivalent to 4.33 °C /century.
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In 1990, the IPCC’s mid-range prediction of near-term warming claimed 2.8 °C per century, higher by two-thirds than its current prediction of 1.7 °C /century.
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The warming trend since 1990, when the IPCC wrote its first report, is equivalent to 1°C per century. The IPCC had predicted more than two and a half times as much.
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To meet the IPCC’s central prediction of 1 °C warming from 1990-2025, in the next decade a warming of 0.75 °C , (equivalent to a preposterous 7.5 °C /century), would have to occur.
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Though the IPCC has cut its near-term warming prediction, it has not cut its high-end business as usual centennial warming prediction of 4.8°C warming by 2100.
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The IPCC’s predicted 4.8 °C warming by 2100 is well over twice the greatest rate of warming lasting more than 15 years that has been measured since 1950.
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The oceans, according to the 3600+ ARGO buoys, are warming at a rate of just 0.02 °C per decade, equivalent to 0.23 °C per century, or 1 °C in 430 years.
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Any recent extreme-weather events cannot be blamed on global warming, because there has not been any global warming to speak of. It is as simple as that.
Confused ? …Well you should be … the ‘Climate Scientists’ are !
Winter 2016/17, at the end of ‘the hottest year ever’ & the start of the next one !…we have –
- In Russia Moscow celebrated the coldest orthodox Christmas in 125 years.
- Snowfall paralyzed the city of Istanbul, Turkey.
- Massive snow falls across the Balkans, Italy and Greece.
- Dozens of Europeans have since frozen to death.
- Northern Albania villages have been cut off by 120 cm of snow.
- Temperatures as low as -30C caused ice to form on the Adriatic Sea, the Danube plus many small rivers, lakes and ponds.
- A temperature of -62°C (-80°F) was recorded in Chanty-Mansijsk (Russia).