2007 – Senior scientist Mark Serreze. Said “The Arctic is screaming,” & in a “death spiral” !!
March 2013 – Paul Beckwith stated – “For the record; I do not think that any sea ice will survive this summer. An event unprecedented in human history is today, this very moment, transpiring in the Arctic Ocean”
But ….Twenty Years of ‘Unprecedented Melting’ Has Left Arctic Sea Ice almost Unchanged
In 2015 – The amount of sea ice in the Arctic is essentially identical to 20 years ago.
Comparison of same May date, 20 years apart
Also look at the amount of snow cover in May 2015 – the so called ‘hottest year heifer’ !!
July 22 2015 – Worst arctic ice conditions in 20 years force change of plans to icebreaker research program –http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/ccgs-amundsen-re-routed-to-hudson-bay-to-help-with-heavy-ice-1.3162900 & http://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/news/news/2015/07/22/coldest_summer_since_1992/
Showing the Arctic sea ice gain in 3 years after the big melt in 2012
From: University of Illinois department of atmospheric science http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/
Ice at the North Pole may disappear completely within the next few months for the first time in 20,000 years. “There is supposed to be ice at the North Pole – not water,” said Mark Serreze of the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre (NSIDC) in Colorado. “The Centre has been predicting that the Arctic Ocean could be virtually ice-free by 2012 but that point may be reached within months rather than years.” The Telegraph, (UK) 27 Jun 2008
Yet in 1958… the first submarine surfaced in clear water at the North Pole.
They couldn’t have done that in 2015 because of… to much ice !!
2008 NASAs James Hansen, said “models predict that in five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.”
The models are a muddle !!
2015 Arctic sea ice had one of its shortest summer melt seasons on record (160 days), & saw record autumnal re-growth; Arctic sea ice thickness was up 40% over the previous four years.
Arctic sea ice continued its record autumn growth, having gained ~six million km² since September 1 after the shortest melt season on record.
We are told constantly that Arctic Sea Ice area is falling, BUT…
The 2017 max Arctic Sea Ice extent ~14,300,000 sqkm….similar to the last few years.
Source: http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php the page on this site updates daily.
The features of this graph which make it more meaningful than the graphs from NSIDC and other sources are:
- It shows the full range of years going back to 1995.
- They don’t tamper with data, like NSIDC do.
See also: http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/
Having missed all their ice-free Arctic predictions for 2008, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016, some of our ‘top scientists’ are moving the goalposts (of settled science), now forecasting an ice-free Arctic by 2050 (long after they’ve retired or died).
- 2015 Arctic sea ice thickness is up 40% over last 4 years coupled with rapid area gains (& CO2 is still rising).
- In Aug 2015 Arctic ice was 1.17 million square kilometers (451,700 square miles) above the level for the same date in 2012, (the year of the record low extent). – http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
- By Sept 27 2015 it was ~ 2 million kM² more ice than for the same date in 2012.
- By Nov 7 2015 it was ~ 4 million kM²
- The Arctic Iris Effect, Dansgaard-Oeschger Events, and Climate Model Shortcomings. Lesson from Climate Past – part 1. https://wattsupwiththat.com/
- The Arctic with live weather patterns & temperatures – https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=-0.82,89.42,447
(Click on any point for position, wind direction & speed, temperature: more info on Reference sites page)
- Daily Mean Temperatures in the Arctic 1958 – 2017
The Mid-Arctic Rift System is 1100 miles long / 120 miles wide (runs north of Iceland to Siberia separating the Eurasian & American tectonic plates) topographically expressed as high mountains and Grand Canyon scale trenches http://www.earth-of-fire.com/geology-volcanoes-and-climate-the-mid-arctic-rift.html it’s an extension of the mid-Atlantic ridge.
See a volcanic hot spot on the Mohns Ridge ~ 78° North 11°East https://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hycomARC/navo/arcticsstnowcast.gif
In 2014 an M4.5 earthquake was associated with a geographically extensive release of methane into the atmosphere; this indicates a large number of sub-sea hydrothermal vents across the Arctic Ocean. CO2 as well as methane & hot water issue from these vents, (coincidentally well-developed and extensive Phytoplankton blooms have been discovered under the ice in the same area). http://tinyurl.com/lawq2kn