Stop Press

This is the place to find –

  • New ‘stuff’ before it’s added into main text.
  • Current ‘news’ (filtered to remove  ‘Alternative facts’ & ‘Fake news’)

Sadly ‘Alternative facts’ & ‘Fake news’ are not just found in politics and media, disappointingly they are also in science too.  Please read A rough guide to spotting bad science.

Even the Main Stream Media is now starting to realise the problems of fraud in climate science.

 It will be updated monthly (so bookmark).

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May  2017

Is Greenland melting ?…NO

Greenland’s Ice accumulation is currently at highest in last 37 years –

from – http://www.dmi.dk/en/groenland/maalinger/greenland-ice-sheet-surface-mass-budget/  (Auto updates daily)

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May 22nd

Global warming is now The Apocalypse.” And comes complete with 97% more fear factor.

Over the last 50ish years, we’ve seen great deal of re-packaging & re-branding from one side of the climate debate as they constantly re-market their ideas.

Forget about –

  • ‘Ice Age Coming’; not cold enough.
  • ‘Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming’; seems it’s not terrifying enough, (or hot enough).
  • ‘Weather Weirding’; but the data showed no such thing.
  • ‘Climate Change’; not changing enough.

So after years of research (in the dictionary), they’ve managed to both cut the packaging by 50% & add 97% more fear factor –

The new brand-name of Global Warming is now The Apocalypse.”

Short, Snappy, Scary, Backed up by 100s of Hollywood ‘B Movies’, Sounds Biblical….what’s not to like.

More detailed explanation here.

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May 20th

Another example of why we can’t trust academic peer review any more –

A hoax paper consisting of random garbage, some of it computer generated can ‘pass peer review’ & be published in an academic journal (Cogent Social Sciences ) therefore gaining credibility, as long as it contains certain key words.

 This is just one example from many.  Full story here.

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May 15th

While climate alarmists will tell you the “science is settled,” in reality, it is anything but. One of the more interesting theories is  “Cosmic Ray Theory.” where  cosmic rays hitting Earth’s atmosphere create aerosols which, in turn, seed clouds and thereby help in the formation of clouds. This would make cosmic rays an important player in weather and climate

This theory is currently being put to the test, as the sun has become unusually quiet.

Read More: COSMIC RAYS ON THE RISE AS SOLAR MINIMUM APPROACHES

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April 2017

April 22nd  – Sea ice off Newfoundland thickest ever & yet another polar bear comes ashore

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April 13th – Two articles on temperatures –

1. The Antarctic Peninsula has widely been reported as one of the fastest warming places on Earth, (which it was for 5 yrs 1993-1998) and therefore evidence of CO2 induced global warming;

But scientists have confirmed that the region has actually cooled between 0.5 to 0.9 °C since 2000 despite increased CO2 levels.

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V20/apr/a17.php

60 yrs of Antarctic Peninsula temperature changes

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V20/apr/Olivaetal2017b.jpg

More on that Antarctic Peninsula story & discussion.

2. Several papers confirming rapid temperature rise ~ 30 times faster than present, (14,700 yrs ago when CO2 was almost half what it is to day). Plus 25 other warming/cooling events.

“during the last 100 to 150 years there has been a dramatic rise in anthropogenic CO2 emissions and atmospheric CO2 concentrations…but no accompanying dramatic rise in temperatures or sea level.

Thus, the theory that human activity or CO2 concentration changes are the primary drivers of temperature changes and sea level rise, does not seem to be supported by the geological evidence.”

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March 2017

Stunning 3D imaging of Antarctica from European Space Agency’s CryoSat satellite shows the land extent plus permanent ice shelves but all sea ice digitally removed.

3D imaging of Antarctica The Ross Ice Shelf (at the bottom) is 487,000 sq km, about the size of France.

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Yet more Fake Climate Nonsense in the media –

Deadly heat stress could threaten hundreds of millions

All because of a ‘projected 2ºC temperature rise’,

Yes, & I COULD win the lottery tomorrow !

(Note all the: is projected, could be, if, suggest, words.)  More on it here.

By the way; 2ºC is the ~ difference in temperature between your feet & head levels in still air; & you are 17 times more lightly to die of excessive cold.

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More fake news from the BBC – this time about Miami Beach turning into ‘Modern Day Atlantis’

On The World at One at 28:40.

BBC reporter Nick Bryant said – “sea levels at Miami are rising at ten times the global rate”.

BUT

According to NOAA the global rate is ~ 3.2mm/yr

& Miami Beach is 2.39mm/yr

Not 10x global rate but – just 75% of global rate.

So who should we believe… Science or …the BBC (who inflate the figures x13 to make a story). More info here.

There’s a lot more to Miami than vice & sea level rise…start with geography & geology (it’s a sandbank & swampland on top of porous limestone), plus 100 years of massive water abstraction & some really bad civil engineering.

Maybe they had the answer 2,000yrs ago –

Matthew 7:24-27. “And they shall be likened unto a foolish man, which built his house upon the sand:
And the rain descended, and the floods came, and the winds blew, and beat upon that house; and it fell: and great was the fall of it”. (emphasis on ‘foolish man’)

Excellent article about Recent Sea-Level Change at Major Cities

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‘Man-made global warming’ proved again … by BBC

Red shows areas of ‘record heat’**

**BUT: The Red areas of ‘record heat’ are in places where NOAA say (on bottom left of their maps) –  “Please note: Gray areas represent missing data”

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/global-maps/201613?products[]=map-land-sfc-mntp#global-maps-select

This is why it is called ‘man-made global warming’.

When they have no data…  they just invent it.

It certainly is “extreme and unusual”, because it has not actually happened.

Another example of fake news, ( in banking its called fraud ).

Thanks to Paul at https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2017/03/23/fake-news-bbc-claim-of-record-temperatures/

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March 20. –  Massive coral reef die-off

But – Not global warming.  Not ocean acidification – it’s Crap…our Crap.

‘Dead Zones’ on coral reefs caused by sewage and agricultural runoff say researchers at Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute,

“… they suspected it was caused by a dead zone–a low-oxygen area that snuffs out marine life–rather than by ocean warming or acidification…”

“For every one dead zone in the tropics, there are probably another nine of which have yet to be identified.”

“The team thinks that such dead zones may be common in the tropics but have gone largely unreported, simply because scientists never looked…”

The researchers found 20 instances when dead zones were implicated in the mass mortality of coral reefs worldwide. “Hypoxia (low oxygen) isn’t even mentioned in several of the most important academic reviews of threats to coral reefs and is rarely discussed at scientific meetings,”

 The Smithsonian full media release.

&

another coral reef story on same day – Local divers on The Great Barrier Reef say less than 5% is damaged, they dive on it daily so should know…instead of relying on computer models.

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Another false ‘sea-level rise’ panic headline –

Louisiana wetlands struggling with sea-level rise four times the global average”…“more than 60 percent of sites are on track to drown,” !!

But, they are measuring APPARENT sea level, not actual; the whole area is subsiding so yes the area will drown. (“they were able to calculate how rapidly sea level is rising with respect to the coastal wetland surface”)

Many reasons for subsidence in that area…including – oil & water extraction, levees that starve the wetlands of silt & fresh water, geological fault lines, storm damage.

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Here is another example of “consensus” science at work –

35 yrs as a Pariah. Prevailing archeological thought was that humans crossed from Siberia to Alaska and the Americas over a land bridge approximately 13,000 years ago ( they became known as the Clovis people).

In the 1970s a French-Canadian archeologist Jacques Cinq-Mars and his team found evidence of human activities much earlier & between 1979 and 2001, he published a number of papers arguing for his original theory, this went against the consensus so he was viewed as a pariah in the archaeological community for ~ 35yrs.

In Jan 2017 another archaeological team in Oxford confirmed that people were in the area ~24,000 yrs ago; now, the ‘Clovis people theory’ has been set aside vindicating Cinq-Mars after 35 yrs.

See: https://www.hakaimagazine.com/article-short/archaeological-find-puts-humans-north-america-10000-years-earlier-thought

Full paper – http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0169486

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Caught in the act.

Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has comprehensively revised solar exposure data recorded in 2013. This was done so that the revised data would support the BOM assertion that 2013 was the hottest year on record due to anthropogenic drivers

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Sad to report that a once fine organization (of which I was an early member in the 70s) has sunk to the level of snake-oil salesmen.

Greenpeace admits in court that it lies & distorts the truth about climate…as a marketing strategy.

Greenpeace also distorts the truth about its own history; …some of its founding members – Ben Metcalfe, first chairman of the Greenpeace Foundation in 1970 & Dr Patrick Moore have been erased from the recent lists of Greenpeace founders after they criticised the way the group had become anarchists. Here’s Dr Patrick Moore speaking in 2015

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March 6, 2017  Flashy First Images Arrive from GOES-16 Lightning Mapper.  The first lightning detector in a geostationary orbit, the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM), is transmitting data never before available to forecasters.

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For years we have been told by ‘ex-sperts’ that “snow will be a thing of the past, children won’t know what snow is!”

Snow & Ice  (Northern Hemisphere) to date –

From Rutgers

 

Snow & Ice cover (Northern Hemisphere)  (updates daily)

But its not only the snow depth. Also the Snow-Extent is higher than 2016:   From NOAA

From NOAA

 

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February 2017

24 February 2017

CO2 – Yet another Carbon cycle paper showing mans contribution to CO2 levels is just a tiny 4.3 % compared to natural sources; with an atmospheric lifetime of ~4 yrs (not the “few hundred thousand years” often claimed).

Read the abstract here.

So despite all the crazy political claims… nothings changed in 24 years.

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2016-17 Increase in Greenland Snow & Ice accumulation is ~3 billion tons/day

from – http://www.dmi.dk/en/groenland/maalinger/greenland-ice-sheet-surface-mass-budget/

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When will Spring 2017 be Sprung ?

~ 13 March …just over three weeks later than it was last year.

Interesting Met Office data set & explanation from xmetman.

Shows earliest dates as 13th Feb 1989 & 14th Feb 1916:

& latest as 10th May 1784 & 9th May 1795 (both in the Little Ice Age).

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18/2/17Arctic cooling again…now has ~ 14.3 million sqkm of sea ice with another 3 weeks to go to start of melt. Nice clear area chart from xmetman, & the Arctic temperature chart from Danish Meteorological Institute

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Tuesday, February 14, 2017 Antarctic ice has increased compared t0 last few years.

“We experienced a significantly larger ice field this year (2017) compared to the last several years,” said Capt. Michael Davanzo, commanding officer of the Polar Star.

The crew of the Coast Guard Cutter Polar Star arrived at the National Science Foundation’s McMurdo Station Tuesday after cutting a re-supply channel through more than 60 miles of Antarctic ice in the Ross Sea.

In the past few years, the Polar Star’s crew worked through approximately 12 to 13 miles of ice in an effort to reach McMurdo Station. This year, there was more than 60 miles of ice to break, with thickness ranging from two feet to more than 10 feet.
http://www.marinelink.com/news/antarctica-arrives420957

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Study shows China’s severe weather has decreased significantly since 1960

In one of the most comprehensive studies on trends in local severe weather patterns to date, an international team of researchers found that the frequency of hail storms, thunderstorms and high wind events has decreased by nearly 50 percent on average throughout China since 1960.

Read more at: https://phys.org/news/2017-02-china-severe-weather-patterns-drastically.html#jCp

 

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111 year record shows No acceleration in sea-level rise (blue) it’s just 1.4mm/yr.                                  while CO2 (green) continues a steady rise, indicating NO correlation between them.

For active data & more detail, Go to – http://sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php?id=1612340&boxcar=1&boxwidth=2&thick

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Major rate of INCREASE in Greenland Ice above previous years.
http://beta.dmi.dk/en/groenland/maalinger/greenland-ice-sheet-surface-mass-budget

(Visually current ice is about 500 Gt vs typical 400 GT or about 20% increase)

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NOAA Caught fiddling the figures…yet again

Now there’s a ‘Storm in science approaching

“America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) the world’s leading source of climate data rushed to publish a landmark paper that exaggerated global warming and was timed to influence the historic Paris Agreement on climate change.”

To summarize… NOAA –

  • “breached its own rules on scientific integrity”
  • “based on misleading, ‘unverified’ data”
  • “never subjected to NOAA’s rigorous internal evaluation process”
  • “maximised warming”
  • “minimised documentation”
  • “standards were flagrantly ignored”
  • “tried to combine two previously separate sets of records”
  • “violated NOAA rules”
  • “computer used to process the software had suffered a complete failure”
  • “NOAA not only failed, but it effectively mounted a cover-up”
  • “rushed to publication in an effort to support the President’s climate change agenda”

Hopefully this time there will be consequences for this type of scientific malfeasance and criminal activity (e.g. unauthorized destruction of government property).   Thanks to Boulder Skeptic

Read more:

If this is true (which seems very  lightly), it brings the whole of science into disrepute. We must remove politics & politicians pet agendas from science.  We know we can’t trust politicians…. but we should be able to trust science.

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January 2017

Media have constantly been telling us how hot the world is getting, so when the 2016 results started coming out they were quick to tell us that Arctic ice is melting & publicise that Global Surface Temperature for 2016 maybe 0.07°C ±0.10°C warmer than 2015.  [Note: Margin of error is greater than the amount measured ] ( the UK Met Office use a short term forecast tolerance of ± 2°C.)

2°C is the ~ difference in temperature between your feet & chest in still air.

But then –

NOAA spoils it all by saying 2012 was the hottest  &  2 Russian Ice-breakers get stuck in….sea ice up to 2.5m thick.

& nature kind of disagreed as well….this is how the Northern Hemisphere looked on Jan 21st 2017.

Blue = below 0°C; White = below –10°C; Pink = below –30°C:

 

Yet the media ignore or play down the numerous record cold and snow events occurring in many places around the world. Why ???

So for balance, here are a few examples you probably haven’t seen:

many more here: https://www.iceagenow.info/

While the media worried about anthropogenic global warming scenarios, some good news in 2016 was likely missed: record crop yields and relatively fewer storms.

Global crop yields hit record levels, according to United Nations data. Production of wheat, coarse grains and rice are forecasted to be  1.7 percent, or 44 million metric tons, higher than 2015.

U.S. corn and soybean yields hit record levels in 2016, according to U.S. government data. Corn production rose 15.1 billion bushels, or 11 percent, from 2015, and soybean production rose another 4.31 billion bushels, or 10 percent, over the previous year.  (The full Crop Production 2016 Summary is available online at www.nass.usda.gov/Publications.)

Fewer major tropical cyclones made landfall in 2016 compared to 2015. In fact, tropical cyclone numbers for 2016 were below the 40-year average.https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/image_thumb72.png?w=620&h=397

According to NOAA, Tornadoes in 2016 were 50% of those in 2008. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2016/torngraph-big.png

Do you remember the California drought panic 2016 –

A grim new study led by a UCLA geography professor revealed that the current 5-year drought in California could last indefinitely, with the resulting arid conditions becoming “the new normal” for the state.

Look what happened in 12 mths  Weather.